Wicked: For Good Oscar Predictions: How Many Nominations Will Part 2 Secure?

Okay, so let's talk about something that’s been on a lot of our minds, especially with awards season starting to peek around the corner: Wicked: For Good. I mean, can you believe it's almost here? It feels like we've been waiting for this movie adaptation for, like, a million years, right? And now that it's actually happening, and we've had a little peek with the trailer, my brain has officially gone into Oscar prediction mode. And honestly, it's a fun kind of obsession!
We all know how huge the musical Wicked is. It’s a cultural phenomenon! People have their favorite songs, their favorite characters, their deep-cut theories about Elphaba and Glinda. So, naturally, when a movie is this anticipated, the Oscar buzz starts to build pretty much immediately. It’s like a gravitational pull for awards talk. And with Wicked: For Good (Part 1, that is!), it’s not just about if it will get nominations, but how many.
Think about it. This isn't just any movie. This is a beloved story, brought to the big screen with what looks like a seriously impressive cast. Cynthia Erivo as Elphaba? Ariana Grande as Glinda? Talk about dream casting! And they’re not the only ones bringing the magic. The costumes, the sets, the sheer spectacle of it all… it's practically begging for Oscar attention. It’s the kind of movie that usually cleans up in certain categories, the ones that celebrate the artistry of filmmaking.
So, let's dive in, shall we? Where do I think Wicked: For Good (Part 1, remember!) might land some shiny gold statues, or at least some nominations? My crystal ball is a little blurry, but I’ve got some educated guesses. And hey, it's all in good fun, right? Like trying to guess which witch will be the first to cast a spell at the ceremony!
The Obvious Contenders: Where the Magic Truly Shines
First up, let’s talk about the categories where Wicked practically has its name already etched on the envelope. Best Original Song is a no-brainer. This is a musical, after all! We’ve got iconic songs from the stage show, and who knows what new magic they'll cook up for the film. “Defying Gravity” alone is a masterpiece. If it doesn’t get a nomination, I’ll eat my sparkly broomstick. And while we’re on the topic of music, don’t forget about Best Original Score. The music in Wicked is so integral to the storytelling, so atmospheric. It’s a huge part of what makes the show so beloved.
Then there’s the pure visual feast that is Wicked. Seriously, the trailer alone is a testament to the incredible work that goes into bringing Oz to life. I’m talking about Best Production Design. The Emerald City, the Shiz University, Elphaba’s humble beginnings… they have to get this world just right. And judging by the glimpses we’ve seen, they’re going for something truly spectacular. Think about the level of detail, the creativity. It’s going to be a world you want to get lost in. It's like comparing a simple sketch to a full, vibrant oil painting. This is definitely the oil painting category.

And speaking of visuals, we can’t overlook Best Costume Design. Elphaba’s iconic green skin and her distinct style, Glinda’s ever-changing, fabulous gowns… the costumes in Wicked are legendary. They tell a story all on their own. They have to be unique, memorable, and perfectly capture the characters’ personalities. This is a category where Wicked has historically excelled, and I don’t see that changing for the film. It's like the fashion show of the Oscars, and Wicked is definitely ready to walk the runway.
Now, I’m going to go out on a limb here, but I also think Best Visual Effects could be a strong contender. Creating a believable and magical Oz, complete with flying monkeys, talking trees, and whatever other fantastical elements they weave in, is no small feat. The trailer gives us a hint of the scale, and if they pull it off seamlessly, it could definitely catch the Academy’s eye. It’s about making the unbelievable look completely real, and that’s a kind of magic in itself.
The Sleeper Hits and Bold Predictions
Okay, beyond the pretty obvious ones, where else could Wicked surprise us? I’m feeling pretty optimistic about some of the technical categories. Best Cinematography is a big one. Capturing the grandeur of Oz, the intimacy of the characters’ relationships, the epic musical numbers – it all requires a skilled hand behind the camera. If the film is shot beautifully, with a distinct visual style that complements the story, it’s definitely a possibility. It's like the photographer at a wedding – they capture all the big moments and the quiet, emotional ones too.

And what about Best Sound? Musicals rely so heavily on sound design and mixing. Getting the balance right between the dialogue, the music, and the ambient sounds of Oz will be crucial. If they nail it, making every note ring out and every whisper audible, this could be a dark horse contender. It’s the invisible work that makes a huge difference to the overall experience.
Now, for a slightly bolder prediction: could we see some acting nominations? This is where things get really interesting. Cynthia Erivo as Elphaba is a powerhouse. Her vocal talent is undeniable, and her ability to convey depth and emotion is incredible. I think a nomination for Best Actress is absolutely within reach. She’s playing an iconic role, and I can see her bringing a whole new layer to it. It would be a well-deserved nod for a truly exceptional performer.
And then there’s Ariana Grande as Glinda. This is her big acting moment, and while some might be skeptical, she’s shown glimpses of real talent in her music and previous smaller roles. Glinda is a complex character – bubbly on the surface, but with her own struggles and growth. If Ariana can capture that duality and shine alongside Erivo, a nomination for Best Supporting Actress is not out of the question. It would be a huge win for her and a testament to her versatility.

Let's not forget the supporting cast. Michelle Yeoh as Madame Morrible, Jeff Goldblum as the Wizard, Jonathan Bailey as Fiyero… they’re all established talents. Depending on their screentime and the impact of their performances, we could see nominations for Best Supporting Actor or Actress. These roles are crucial to the narrative, and with actors of this caliber, they’re bound to make an impression.
The Big Picture: Will it Conquer the Big Categories?
Now, the million-dollar question: could Wicked: For Good crack into the major categories like Best Picture? This is where it gets tougher. For a musical to get a Best Picture nomination, it usually needs to be something truly groundbreaking, something that resonates deeply beyond just its genre. Think La La Land or The Greatest Showman (though the latter didn't quite hit that nomination level). Wicked has the emotional depth and the universal themes of acceptance and belonging that could certainly appeal to the Academy.
It's also worth considering the impact of the film. If it’s not just a faithful adaptation but a cinematic event that redefines musical filmmaking, it could certainly make waves. It depends on the direction, the editing, the overall vision. Is it just a well-made movie, or is it a masterpiece? The Academy often rewards films that feel like a significant artistic achievement.

And let's be honest, the Academy sometimes has a bit of a blind spot for musicals in the top categories, unless they're truly exceptional. However, with the massive fan base and the undeniable quality of the source material, Wicked has a strong fighting chance. It's like a powerful spell – if cast correctly, it can move mountains (or at least, Oscar voters).
So, how many nominations are we talking about? My personal, totally unscientific prediction? I'm leaning towards a solid 6 to 8 nominations for Wicked: For Good (Part 1). I think the technical and musical categories will be its strong suit, with potential for 1-2 acting nods, and a hopeful, though less certain, chance at a Best Picture nomination. It’s going to be fascinating to watch how it all unfolds!
What are your predictions? Are you as excited as I am? Let me know in the comments below!
